Scenarios for Our Economic Future
Explore how different paths for AI could change jobs, growth, and the economy.
Reference Library
Books, essays, research, and ideas behind the thinking.
28 references
After Work, We’ll Have Each Other
Relationships, belonging, and the social world that could follow paid work.
On the Loose
What autonomous agents could mean for identity, accountability, and institutions.
Principles for a New Utopianism
A case for imagining better futures with humility, pluralism, and hope.
Economic Policy for AGI
Eleven policy approaches to economic disruption, shared prosperity, and human agency.
A U.S. Strategy to Secure Geopolitical Advantage on an Uncertain Path to Superintelligence
Maintaining freedom of action as AI reshapes geopolitical competition.
We Must Pace the Frontier
A proposal for independent evaluation and coordinated pacing of frontier AI.
An Alien Mind
Understanding, aligning, and monitoring increasingly capable AI systems.
Pax Machina: New Institutions for Powerful AI
An introduction to building institutions for powerful AI.
How AI Becomes a Political Crisis
A conversation with Anton Leicht on jobs, infrastructure, and AI’s political consequences.
Of Swarms and Sand Gods
Alignment, oversight, and institutional design in a world of interacting AI agents.
Post-Labor Economics, Part 5: Concrete Interventions for Power and Prosperity
Proposals for distributing power and prosperity in a post-labor economy.
Preparing for the Intelligence Explosion
Research on preparing for a rapid increase in AI capabilities.
AI 2027
A scenario exploring rapid AI progress and the choices it could create.
Coasean Bargaining at Scale
An exploration of bargaining and coordination at scale.
There Is No Antimemetics Division
A novel about an organization confronting threats that resist being remembered.
Antimemetics: Why Some Ideas Resist Spreading
How attention and social incentives shape the ideas we share—and those we lose.
Deep Utopia
Life and meaning when advanced technology can meet our practical needs.
Many Ways to Win
Eighty approaches to competitive advantage, drawn from business and biology.
The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence
An illustrated introduction to AI progress and superintelligence.
The Culture
A fictional civilization exploring abundance, intelligence, freedom, and intervention.
Regaining Strategic Competence
A report on strategic competence and national security.
Master of the Senate
Lyndon Johnson, legislative power, and the workings of the U.S. Senate.
A Liberal Decalogue
Russell’s principles for intellectual freedom and open inquiry.
The Inner Ring
The pull of insider status, and the difference between belonging and exclusion.
The Great Transformation
How the rise of market society reshaped economic and social life.
Bits and Bobs
Alex Komoroske’s collection of notes and ideas.
Digital Civic Infrastructure
A resource on digital civic infrastructure.
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